BREAKDOWN: Mitt’s Got the Cash to Blow Another One! (Ditto Sarah Palin.)
August 24, 2010
Gingrich ‘Very Serious’ About 2012 Run, Skeptics Shrug
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Newt Gingrich has “never been this serious,” as he told an Iowa crowd, about assessing his chances for a potential Presidential bid in 2012. Assuming he does, a Des Moines Register poll gives him a third place favorability showing in a match-up against current GOP heavyweights Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin. Pundits aren’t discounting that Gingrich could pull an upset, but what’s giving some of them pause is the suspicion that he is trying to build up hype for a new book. Nevertheless, Newt’s announcement cements his place on the blogosphere’s roster of potential candidates making passive swipes at a 2012 bid. Lou Dobbs welcomes him to the club. Here’s what critics have to say:
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Is Obama’s Re-Election a Sure Bet?
Americans are increasingly unsure of President Obama’s handling of the economy, a new CBS News poll released this morning shows — but come 2012, unless there’s another economic meltdown, that lack of confidence in the president will have zero impact on how people vote, one professor contends.
Mr. Obama’s re-election is virtually guaranteed, according to a formula concocted by American University Professor Allan Lichtman. Little beyond a massive scandal directly tied to the president or a major military or foreign policy failure could change that, according to Lichtman’s system, which he calls the “13 Keys.”
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Mississippi’s Barbour for president?
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Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, being touted by some as a presidential prospect, says he’s not ready to start thinking about the 2012 race.
The Republican governor has had a higher national profile recently, not just because of the BP oil spill looming off Mississippi’s coast but also because of his fundraising for other Republican candidates across the country.
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Sarah Palin’s war chest points to 2012 presidential bid
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Newly published election spending figures show Sarah Palin ended the last quarter with a war chest of more than $1m, suggesting gathering momentum for a run at the White House in 2012.
Her political action committee, a body for raising and distributing election cash, raised $866,000 in the three months from April 1, the most since it was formed in January 2009. She spent about $742,000 over the quarter, most of it on building up her political profile and base support.
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August 22, 2010
Mitt Romney: The George H.W. Bush of 2012?
It’s pretty much impossible to tell what he actually believes. But that doesn’t stop him from putting on a show
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Palin as Walter Mondale, Part II
Jonathan Bernstein has a post up responding to (the) comparison of Sarah Palin ’12 to Walter Mondale ’84. He agrees that nominating her would be an unmitigated catastrophe for the GOP, but:
Kornacki’s jump from there to Walter Mondale in 1984, however, doesn’t really work. Yes, Mondale got clobbered — but he was clobbered by a popular incumbent president boosted by a strong economy. Under those circumstances, it didn’t really matter who the Dems ran; when the electorate is happy with the incumbent, there’s not very much the out-party can do about it.
Obama Returns to Missouri, Site of Slim 2008 Loss
KANSAS CITY, Mo. — For some in President Obama’s White House, Missouri remains the state that got away, nearly two years after his election.
Mr. Obama was the first Democrat since 1964 to win Indiana and the first since 1976 to win North Carolina. But his loss in Missouri by the narrowest of slivers (fewer than 4,000 votes) was of special disappointment.
2012 and the GOP’s Palin trap
(the reporter) absolutely agree(s) with this assessment of Sarah Palin’s 2012 general election prospects from Daniel Larison:
If she did somehow [win the nomination], Democrats would spend most of the summer and fall of 2012 rubbing their eyes in disbelief at their good fortune… [A] ticket headed by Palin would be hard-pressed to break 40%. Palin as the nominee would probably make 2012 the most lopsided election victory for the incumbent President since 1984.
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Four Cities Vie for 2012 Democratic Convention
Charlotte, N.C.? Cleveland? Minneapolis? St. Louis?
Those are the four cities named by the Democratic National Committee as finalists for the party’s national convention in 2012. A decision will be made by Democratic leaders – and blessed by the White House – later this year.
The Democratic convention is scheduled to take place the week of Sept. 3, 2012. The Republican convention, which will be held in Tampa, Fla., is the week before.
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